The price increase is driven by investor concerns over potential retaliatory actions from Tehran, specifically the disruption of oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.
Analysts fear Brent crude could reach 100 US dollars a barrel if Iran closes the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz, which handles a fifth of global oil and gas shipments.
A closure of the Strait of Hormuz could trigger a major stagflationary shock, potentially worse than the 2022 energy crisis, leading to significant global stock market corrections.
Even a disruption, rather than a full closure, of the Strait could cause a substantial inflation shock and a 5-10% correction in stock markets.