The government ‘black hole’ which could see your taxes start to rise
Gary Neville criticises Rachel Reeves over national insurance hike
The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) has warned that Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces a £41 billion shortfall in public finances.
This deficit, projected by 2029-30, is attributed to Labour's policy reversals, increased borrowing, and sluggish economic growth.
NIESR suggests the Chancellor must either raise taxes, cut public spending, or abandon her fiscal rules to address the 'impossible trilemma' of balancing commitments.
Tax increases are considered the more probable solution, with NIESR highlighting that the poorest 10 per cent of households have already experienced a 1.3 per cent drop in living standards under Labour.
The think tank also noted that the Chancellor's current £9.9 billion financial buffer is insufficient and proposed a potential rewrite of the government's fiscal rules.